Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.089813 0.099903 0.110272 0.121698 0.133909 0.146543 0.160575
2025-01-12 0.072956 0.088057 0.104409 0.123307 0.144422 0.167170 0.193409
2025-01-19 0.060296 0.078433 0.099012 0.123787 0.152501 0.184447 0.222385
2025-01-26 0.055550 0.076773 0.101763 0.132801 0.169767 0.211858 0.262880
2025-02-02 0.048459 0.071223 0.099035 0.134637 0.178134 0.228732 0.291210
2025-02-09 0.043221 0.067238 0.097579 0.137462 0.187272 0.246267 0.320238
2025-02-16 0.037626 0.062084 0.094050 0.137189 0.192225 0.258535 0.342880
2025-02-23 0.035768 0.061720 0.096514 0.144381 0.206388 0.282005 0.379158
2025-03-02 0.033658 0.060728 0.097940 0.150088 0.218625 0.303157 0.412779
2025-03-09 0.029164 0.055778 0.093558 0.147748 0.220255 0.310926 0.429837
2025-03-16 0.024846 0.050606 0.088440 0.144028 0.219762 0.315786 0.443119
2025-03-23 0.023458 0.049871 0.089559 0.148794 0.230447 0.334889 0.474358
2025-03-30 0.021613 0.048350 0.089612 0.152322 0.239917 0.353070 0.505356
2025-04-06 0.019581 0.046323 0.088801 0.154603 0.247796 0.369411 0.534396
2025-04-13 0.017397 0.043773 0.086994 0.155316 0.253479 0.382930 0.559980
2025-04-20 0.017530 0.045434 0.091839 0.165888 0.272987 0.414898 0.609709
2025-04-27 0.015933 0.043668 0.091078 0.168047 0.280716 0.431301 0.639393
2025-05-04 0.014709 0.042464 0.091118 0.171342 0.290033 0.449872 0.672034
2025-05-11 0.012974 0.040005 0.088889 0.171028 0.294117 0.461381 0.695458
2025-05-18 0.012825 0.040829 0.092236 0.179383 0.310758 0.490027 0.741695
2025-05-25 0.012408 0.041020 0.094464 0.185999 0.324933 0.515419 0.783792
2025-06-01 0.010667 0.038026 0.090908 0.183289 0.325342 0.521867 0.800614
2025-06-08 0.008919 0.034701 0.086498 0.178974 0.323198 0.524662 0.812472